Future agroclimatic conditions and implications for European grasslands
نویسندگان
چکیده
Grasslands play a significant role in livestock fodder production and thus, contribute to food security worldwide while providing numerous additional ecosystem services. However, how agroclimatic conditions adverse weather events relevant for grasslands will change across the European grassland areas has not been examined date. Using single reference setup soil management over 476 sites defined by climate stations, we show probability of eight selected with potential significantly affect productivity under these vary regionally Europe. Changes key indicators create markedly specific spatial patterns. We found that 2050, exposure south west heat drought may double comparison today area frequent occurrences expand northwards. Ukraine, Belarus, Baltic countries southern Finland Sweden, likelihood is likely decrease. While changing cultivars strategies are unavoidable, shifting other regions reduce risk be possible as beyond grassland-growing increases even further. Moreover, marked changes overall thermal water regimes regions. The effect future could different world compared Europe, emphasizing importance conducting similar analyses major producing To mitigate impact change, new ways maintaining need developed. These methods include more efficient selection species mixtures regions, including increased use legumes forbs; incorporation genetic resources, development hybrid cultivars, such Festulolium hybrids; state-of-the-art technologies breeding programs grazing management.
منابع مشابه
Future productivity and phenology changes in European grasslands for different warming levels: implications for grassland management and carbon balance
BACKGROUND Europe has warmed more than the global average (land and ocean) since pre-industrial times, and is also projected to continue to warm faster than the global average in the twenty-first century. According to the climate models ensemble projections for various climate scenarios, annual mean temperature of Europe for 2071-2100 is predicted to be 1-5.5 °C higher than that for 1971-2000. ...
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ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Biologia Plantarum
سال: 2021
ISSN: ['1573-8264', '0006-3134']
DOI: https://doi.org/10.32615/bp.2021.005